TPC Picks Recap (We Actually Had The Winner)
It’s always good when you’re going into Sunday and two of your picks are at least 4 shots up on the rest of the field heading to a championship duel. That’s exactly what we had with our picks John Rahm and Rory McIlroy, except the duel, never got quite as exciting as it could have. Rahm made some really disastrous choices on the back including one of the worst decisions I’ve ever seen a pro make, on #11. Either way, Rory got us a big WIN. Our TPC results are below.
Rory really got us going on Saturday with a 2nd round score of 65 on Friday. That put him into contention with Rahm who made his run on Saturday by shooting a near flawless 64 on Saturday. Rahm actually missed a few inside 10 feet on Saturday that would have allowed him to put up a 63 or 62. Either way, Rory was electric on Sunday, even overcoming a ruinous double-bogey early in the round. We looked poised to experience a rare situation in golf betting, having two of our picks battling on the back nine on a Sunday. Instead, Rahm had a weird melt on 11. After watching Fleetwood come up short and find the water, Rahm had a decision to make out of the long bunker that runs 45 yards along the left side of the fairway. Lay up to the right in front of the water, and settle for a par, or try to fly it 200+ out of the bunker at an almost impossible angle, to have a shot at birdie. At the time Rahm was tied with Rory for the lead. Rahm seemed to have a serious disagreement with his experienced caddie Adam Hayes who advised him many times to lay up, take the par, and move on to 12 still tied. Instead, Rahm refused to listen to his caddie and hit it up 20 yards short directly into the water. I’m not even going to include video because I can’t find any and it was super annoying to watch your pick make one of the worst decisions in pro golf history.
While Rory was trying to put it away, Johnny Vegas and Eddie Pepperell hit two of the most absurd putts ever on 17. Eddie actually was the leader in the clubhouse for a few.
The longest putt on 17 … EVER.
— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) March 17, 2019
5️⃣0️⃣ feet from @PepperellEddie at the iconic 17th!
He’s tied for the lead @THEPLAYERSChamp.
— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) March 17, 2019
As we thought, Spieth and Mickelson really struggled and both missed the cut. I wouldn’t be surprised if Phil never comes back here, seriously. He has just been very bad here. If you have a good golf book and could wager for them to miss the cut, that was a nice lil payday.
We gave you Byeong Hun An as a wild longshot at +10,000 and when he finished his first rd, he was actually the leader. This course just fits his game so well because it’s more about technicality than distance and strength. He’s going to win on the tour and when he does, he’ll be a +8000 or more longshot. Keep an eye on him.
Xander Schauffele was shockingly pedestrian and really struggled from the get-go. We’re going to put him on the back burner for at least a weekend, but I do believe he has another W in him with so much of the season left to be played. Justin Rose was very bad at times and very good at others. But as the best player in the world tends to do, he found himself inside the Top 10 when it was all said and done. Of course, it makes it sweeter when we have the winner, but anytime one of our picks to win finishes in the top 10, we’ll take it.
DJ got us in the tourney head to head bet. It’s a risk when you bet against someone of Dustin’s caliber, but that is the risk you take to get a positive money line on a guy like Justin Thomas. You just have to tip your cap to DJ. He was incredible, played smart golf, and did everything he needed to in order to have a shot on Sunday. He was calculated and intelligent off the tee. He was very, very good with the putter, and made enough shots for a decisive win over JT.
All in all, it was a successful tourney for us with 3 winners hitting including the over all-tourney winner. DJ bested us in the match-up, but it was still a great weekend. Next, the tour heads to Innisbrook Resort and Copperhead in Palm Harbor, Flordia for the Valspar where Paul Casey is the defending Champion. I actually played this course about eight years ago, probably shot a 120, and it will give us zero advantage on picks this week. Let’s see if we can get another winner!